Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.252705 1.462064 1.695207 1.974051 2.298506 2.664177 3.107699
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.915047 1.192916 1.537478 1.996056 2.590569 3.335696 4.341527
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.701052 0.988776 1.373888 1.926876 2.700964 3.747033 5.270392
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.620683 0.933141 1.378080 2.057546 3.069667 4.523319 6.774252
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.512629 0.814578 1.268261 1.999060 3.147845 4.887099 7.727236
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.427988 0.714635 1.166507 1.929972 3.189255 5.187716 8.609727
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.363198 0.634532 1.081425 1.870105 3.229340 5.481036 9.507159
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.327332 0.596283 1.057530 1.904952 3.425763 6.046826 10.924134
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.311248 0.589517 1.085071 2.030294 3.791809 6.941643 13.024672
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.287906 0.565769 1.078538 2.091860 4.048745 7.671753 14.918245
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.263289 0.535832 1.056089 2.119391 4.243425 8.307859 16.712353
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.238285 0.501417 1.020175 2.114989 4.373618 8.833672 18.353355
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.215114 0.468199 0.983675 2.107403 4.502372 9.384148 20.142814
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.197150 0.443499 0.961490 2.127051 4.691436 10.083074 22.342621
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.173334 0.402586 0.899716 2.053170 4.670195 10.339909 23.627339
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.169346 0.405472 0.932742 2.192351 5.135076 11.694663 27.515733
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.150819 0.372034 0.880401 2.130051 5.134333 12.020470 29.102790
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.133818 0.339781 0.826469 2.056458 5.096757 12.256351 30.507844
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.119464 0.311972 0.779332 1.992686 5.073781 12.522140 32.018452
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.112441 0.301694 0.773286 2.029806 5.304475 13.423260 35.222765
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.111033 0.305811 0.803536 2.163321 5.797059 15.028250 40.431321
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.106151 0.299960 0.807585 2.228901 6.121550 16.249426 44.799477
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.099952 0.289627 0.798567 2.258226 6.353150 17.258988 48.734799